Championship Monday Service Plays 4/5/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Men's basketball championship - national championship at indianapolis

Indianapolis, Ind.
9:21 pm

Butler #5 (33-4, 18-0 Horizon)

Duke #1 (34-5, 13-3 ACC)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB DUNKEL


Butler vs. Duke
The Blue Devils look to take advantage of a Butler team that is coming off a 52-50 win over Michigan State and is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win. Duke is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, APRIL 5

Game 601-602: Butler vs. Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 69.873; Duke 80.284
Dunkel Line: Duke by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6 1/2)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB LONG SHEET

Monday, April 5

BUTLER (33 - 4) vs. DUKE (34 - 5) - 4/5/2010, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
DUKE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUKE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DUKE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
DUKE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DUKE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DUKE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
BUTLER is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 120-86 ATS (+25.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NCAAB SHORT SHEET

Monday, 4/5/2010

NCAA Tournament Championship
BUTLER vs. DUKE, 9:15 PM ET CBS
BUTLER: 12-5 ATS after 1+ consecutive unders
DUKE: 6-0 Over after covering the spread in 4+ consecutive games


Trend Report

9:21 PM
BUTLER vs. DUKE
Butler is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

What bettors need to know: Butler vs. Duke

Butler Bulldogs vs. Duke Blue Devils (-6.5, 129.5)

“The Butler Way”

Barry Collier adopted “the Butler Way” when he coached the Bulldogs from 1989-2000. Ten years later, “the Butler Way” has this group of Bulldogs in the National Championship.

But just what is it?

“It’s just the way we carry ourselves on and off the court,” explained senior forward Willie Veasley. “It’s something when you come here, you live it. It’s a core value, something you take pride in, something you hold yourself accountable for.”

Whatever it is, it has led to an amazing 25 straight victories. Butler (33-4, 17-20 ATS) has not lost since a 67-57 setback at UAB on December 22.

The way these Bulldogs have been winning is with defense and toughness, not jaw-dropping talent or high-powered offense. Michigan State coach Tom Izzo knows that all too well after his team’s 52-50 loss on Saturday night.

“It was one of the more physical game we've been involved in, and playing in the Big Ten, that's saying something,” Izzo remarked. “They play as hard as anybody we've played. They are physical.”

Said Butler forward Gordon Hayward, who came up with a critical blocked shot to preserve a 1-point advantage in the final seconds: “I thought it was fitting that we had to get a defensive stop on that last possession of the game because that's how we've won all season. We had to win the Butler way.”

Three-headed monster

Duke’s “S” trio of Kyle Singler, Jon Scheyer, and Nolan Smith has been leading the way for the Blue Devils all season, and more of the same is continuing in this NCAA Tournament.

Singler, Scheyer and Smith combined for 57 of 78 points against Purdue, 54 of 78 against Baylor and 63 of 78 in Saturday night’s blowout win over West Virginia. They combined to shoot a devastating 12-for-23 from beyond the arc at the expense of the Mountaineers.

“We were not going to beat West Virginia without a great performance,” coach Mike Krzyzewski said in a post-game interview with CBS.

While that is almost certainly untrue given the 21-point margin of victory, he certainly got a great performance from his players, including from the star trio’s supporting cast.

Offensive rebounding has been a key to Duke’s success all year long, and Brian Zoubek pulled down five of his 10 boards at the offensive end. Both of Lance Thomas’ rebounds were of the offensive variety and no team does a better job of getting second-chance looks from 3-point range than Duke.

David vs. Goliath…literally

This is not just a mismatch in terms of a “mid-major” team from the Horizon League going up against the ACC Champions.

Duke sports a front line of Zoubek (7-foot-1), Thomas (6-foot-8, 240 pounds) and the 6-foot-10 Plumlee twins (Miles and Mason). Butler’s corps group of players features nobody taller than 6-foot-9 (Hayward).

The Blue Devils have won the rebounding battle in all five of their NCAA Tournament contests and they have reached double-figures on the offensive glass in all five outings. Against Baylor, Duke hauled in a shocking 22 offensive boards. Against Baylor, Duke out-rebounded the Boilermakers 45-22.

Needless to say, the pressure will be on Hayward and 6-foot-8 forwards Avery Jukes and Matt Howard to keep Zoubek and Thomas off the glass.

Something’s gotta give

Butler’s stingy defense against Duke’s clicking offense will be the story of Monday night’s National Championship.

The Bulldogs have not allowed any of their five NCAA Tournament opponents to score 60 points in a game. In fact, Butler has limited 12 of its last 13 opponents to fewer than 60 points.

So good was their defense on Saturday against Michigan State that the Bulldogs still won despite shooting an unimaginably bad 30.6 percent at the other end of the floor.

Duke, on the other hand, has failed to reach the 60-point mark just once this entire season - once in 38 games. The Blue Devils poured in 78 in each of their past two contests, which resulted in wins over Baylor in the South Region final and over West Virginia. Duke drained 13-of-25 3-pointers against the Mountaineers.

Common opponents

The Bulldogs and Blue Devils have faced two common opponents this season, Clemson and Georgetown. Butler fell to the Tigers 70-69 on a neutral court while Duke hammered Clemson on two different occasions (74-53 at home and 60-47 on the road).

Both the Bulldogs and the Blue Devils lost to Georgetown. Butler went down 72-65 in Madison Square Garden and Duke got manhandled by the Hoyas 89-77 at the Verizon Center in Washington, D.C.

Trending topics

The Bulldogs are 8-3 in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games and 5-1 ATS in their last six overall

The Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS during this NCAA Tournament.

Both Butler (15-20 O/U) and Duke (16-22 O/U) have been solid under plays this season. The under is 9-1 in Butler’s last 10 overall and 2-4 in Duke’s last six overall.

Butler's defense has made a mockery of over/under lines during the tourney. Butler's games have finished below the closing total by an average of 15 points in the team's last four games.

 

[Quadropheniac]

spartan | MLB Money Line
free pick 925 SEA (-122) SportBet vs 926 OAK

 

[BrockLanders]

The Vegas Killers - John Harrison

Rangers/Blue Jays OVER 9 (3 UNITs)

The Vegas Killers - Big Sal Capri

Oakland A's +111 (1 UNIT)

 

[ugk]

BIGFELLA SPORTS
4* Duke -4 1st half
4* LA Angels -130

 

[ugk]

B&S PICKS
Duke -7

 

[TempleGrad]

RatedPicks 4/4

MLB 04/05 Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals pick: over pts: 7.0 3 units
MLB 04/05 Minnesota Twins at LA Angels pick: Minnesota Twins pts: +120 2 units
CBB 04/05 Butler at Duke pick: Butler pts: +7.5 3 units

 

[szlem]

Ness Perfect Storm
LA Angels

Big Al Roadkill
Braves

John Fina/winningwaysports high rollers only
Butler

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

St. Bernadine Sports

Matt "Lillefty" Dennehy
3* Duke-7 over Butler
2* Phillies 1st 5 inn -1/2 run (-140-145??) over Washington (1pm)
1* Colorado(+115)over Milwaukee(2pm)

James "34paytonplace" Reynolds
1* TEXAS-140 over Toronto (1pm et)
1* SEATTLE-120 over Oakland (9pm et)
2* DUKE -7 over butler (8:15pm et)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Lakers (-6).

Today it's Duke. The deficit is 40 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

MONDAY, APRIL 5

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

(at Indianapolis)

(5) Butler (33-4, 17-20 ATS) vs. (1) Duke (34-5, 23-13-2 ATS)

Upstart Butler takes its 25-game SU winning streak into what amounts to a home game at Lucas Oil Stadium when it faces the much more heralded Blue Devils in the championship game.
Coming off upsets of No. 1 seed Syracuse and No. 2 seed Kansas State in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight, respectively, the Bulldogs knocked out fellow fifth seed Michigan State 52-50 Saturday night in the Final Four. Butler narrowly covered as a 1½-point favorite, once again relying on its stout defense to advance. On their five-game march to the title contest, the Bulldogs haven’t let a single opponent reach 60 points, allowing an average of 55.2 ppg while scoring 61.8 ppg. For the season, the Bulldogs rate ninth in the country in scoring defense (59.4 ppg), and they’ve held 12 of 13 opponents under 60 points. However, Butler’s Big Dance success comes despite shooting just 39.7 percent in the Tournament, while yielding 41.9 percent shooting, and getting outrebounded by four per game (31.8-27.8). Butler big man Matt Howard suffered a mild concussion in Saturday’s win over Michigan State and he’s expected to be a game-time decision. Duke moved to 5-0 SU and ATS in this year’s Tourney by hammering second-seeded West Virginia 78-57 as a 2½-point chalk Saturday night. The Blue Devils have won nine in a row SU (6-3 ATS), with the last eight coming on neutral floors (the ACC tournament and the Big Dance). In its five Tourney starts, Duke has outscored its competition by exactly 17 ppg (73.4-56.4), shooting 45.1 percent from the floor and allowing 39.2 percent shooting (27.6 percent from three-point range). A major key for Mike Krzyzewski’s troops has been rebounding, as they average about seven more per game than their opponents on the year (35.8-29.1). In the Tourney, the margin jumps to more than 10 rebounds per game on average, with Duke grabbing 36.8 and allowing 26.4. Butler, in its fourth straight Tournament and 10th overall, is at the last stage of a milestone season, reaching the Elite Eight, Final Four and title game for the first time in school history. The Bulldogs will play the final just a few miles away from their Indianapolis campus. On the flip side, Duke has made 34 Tournament appearances, including 14 in a row, and it is a No. 1 seed for the 11th time overall and the sixth time this decade. However, this is the Blue Devils’ first championship game since 2001, when they beat Arizona 82-72 for Coach K’s third national crown. These teams met seven years ago in regular-season play, with Duke rolling to an 80-60 victory as a hefty 14-point home chalk. Butler is 6-3 SU (5-4 ATS) at neutral venues this year, outscoring teams by a bucket per game on average (65.3-63.3) while getting outshot 44.3 percent to 39.5 percent. Duke is a superb 12-0 SU and 9-3 ATS on neutral floors this season, all as a chalk, outscoring opponents by nearly 15 ppg (71.7-56.8). The Bulldogs struggled against the number throughout the regular season, going 12-18 ATS. However, they’ve now cashed in five of their last six overall and are on further ATS rolls of 5-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 8-3 in the Tournament (4-1 this year), 44-21-1 outside the Horizon League, 4-1 against the ACC, 20-6 as an underdog, 15-6 as a neutral-site pup and 7-2-1 on Monday. Likewise, along with their 5-0 ATS surge in the Big Dance (all as a favorite), the Blue Devils are on pointspread upswings of 4-0 against teams with a win percentage above .600 and 7-3-1 following a SU win of more than 20 points. Butler is on an 11-6 “over” run at neutral sites, but it also carries a host of “under” trends, including 9-1 overall (4-0 last four), 7-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 6-1 in non-conference contests, 4-1 on Monday and 5-2 as a Tournament pup. Similarly, Duke is on “under” sprees of 12-5 overall (all as a chalk), 19-8 on neutral courts, 7-3 on Monday, 11-5 after a SU win and 13-6 in when laying points in the Big Dance.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DUKE and UNDER



NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco at Houston

The Giants trot out two-time N.L. Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum (15-7, 2.48 ERA in 2009) when they open the season at Minute Maid Park against veteran Astros ace Roy Oswalt (8-6, 4.12). San Francisco finished third in the N.L. West last season at 88-74, but showed some promise at the end of the season, winning six of their last seven overall and four straight against right-handed starters. However, while the Giants had the best home record in the National League last year (52-29), they were 36-45 on the highway. They’re also just 2-5 in their last seven as a road favorite and 1-4 in their last five against the N.L. Central. Houston placed fifth in the six-team N.L. Central a year ago at 74-88, going just 4-16 down the stretch. A nine-game losing streak in mid-September essentially eliminated the Astros from any playoff contention. They were 44-37 at Minute Maid Park, but they went 5-16 in their last 21 games as an underdog in 2009. San Francisco took four of six from the Astros last season, including two of three at Minute Maid. However, in 2008, the Astros went 7-1 against the Giants, including 4-0 in Texas. Lincecum was just 3-4 in his final seven starts last year, but he closed things with a 7-3 home win over Arizona, going seven innings and giving up two runs on two hits while striking out seven. With Lincecum pitching, San Francisco is on runs of 11-5 as a favorite, 5-0 on Monday and 4-1 in series-openers, but the Giants did lose five of his final six road starts. In fact, the lanky right-hander was just 5-5 with a 3.21 ERA in 15 starts on the highway in 2009. For his career, Lincecum is 2-0 with a 1.67 ERA in five starts versus the Astros, giving up eight runs (six earned) in 32 1/3 innings. In last year’s lone start against Houston, he scattered three hits and two walks while striking out nine in seven scoreless innings, with the Giants rolling 9-0 at home. Oswalt’s season ended on Sept. 15 at Cincinnati when he went just five innings and gave up four runs on six hits in five innings. The right-hander allowed 10 runs on 16 hits in just seven innings over his final two starts of the season, both of which Houston lost. Still, with Oswalt on the hill, the Astros are on impressive streaks of 10-4 overall, 62-24 at home, 42-14 against the N.L. West, 4-1 as a home ‘dog and 13-3 on Monday. At home last season, Oswalt was 3-3 with a 4.12 ERA in 78 2/3 innings of work, but his lifetime numbers at Minute Maid Park are still a stellar 75-25 with a 2.80 ERA. He made one start against the Giants and was dominant, giving up one run on three hits over eight innings while striking out six in a 7-1 road victory. For his career, Oswalt is 5-5 with a 3.70 ERA in 13 starts against San Francisco. San Francisco finished the 2009 season on “under” runs of 7-3-1 overall, 5-2-1 against right-handers and 12-5-1 as a road favorite. For Houston, the “under” is 14-3-1 when Oswalt pitches the first game of a series and 6-1-1 in his last eight starts Monday, plus as a team, the Astros are on further “under” streaks of 48-23-3 at home against right-handers, 19-7 as an underdog and 37-18-3 on Mondays. These two teams have topped the total in five of their last seven head-to-head matchups.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Minnesota at L.A. Angels

A pair of 2009 division winners square off on opening day when the Twins sends Scott Baker (15-9, 4.36 ERA) to the mound at Angel Stadium opposite the Angels’ Jered Weaver (16-8, 3.71).
Minnesota (87-76) was swept out of the playoffs in the divisional round by the Yankees after winning five straight games to close the regular season, including a 6-5, 12-inning victory over Detroit in a one-game playoff to determine the A.L. Central champ. As a team, Minnesota closed the 2009 season on streaks of 17-7 overall, 7-1 in series openers and 21-7 against right-handed starters, but they struggled on the road, going 38-45 (playoffs included). Los Angeles (97-65) won the A.L. West and destroyed the Red Sox in the divisional series before falling to the eventual World Series champion Yankees in six games in the A.L. Championship Series. For the second year in a row, the stadium didn’t matter much to the Angels, who were virtually as good on the road (48-33) and they were at home (49-32). Mike Scioscia’s club finished last season on solid runs of 12-5 overall, 8-2 at home, 11-1 as a favorite and 5-2 in series openers. Minnesota won the first three meetings with Los Angeles last year, but the Angels took six of the final seven, including a three-game sweep in Minneapolis over the summer in which they outscored the Twins 35-15. In fact, the winning team in this series has scored in double digits in each of the last five games and in six of the 10 meetings last season. Also in this rivalry, the home team had been on an eight-game winning streak before the visitor took the last four in 2009. Still, the Angels are 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Southern California. Baker’s final start last year came in the one-game playoff against Detroit, and he allowed three runs on six hits to keep the Twins in the contest. The right-hander won four of his final five road starts last season and went 9-4 with a 4.17 ERA on the highway. He’s made seven career starts against the Angels, going 0-4 with a 5.59 ERA, with all four losses coming at Angel Stadium, where he’s allowed 22 runs in 33 2/3 innings (5.88 ERA). The Twins are just 2-8 in Baker’s last 10 starts as an underdog, but they are 9-2 in his last 11 outings overall and 6-1 in his last seven when he faces A.L. West squads. Weaver made two playoff starts in October at home and allowed just four runs in 12 1/3 innings (2.92 ERA), beating the Red Sox and getting a no-decision in his team’s 5-4 win over the Yankees. He also pitched 1 1/3 innings of relief against New York without allowing a run. It’s been all positive streaks when Weaver starts for the Angels, including 19-8 overall, 36-15 at home and 36-17 as a home favorite. Including the three playoff outings, Weaver was dominant at home last season, going 11-3 with a 2.81 ERA in 20 appearances (19 starts). For his career, the right-hander is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA in six starts against the Twins, with the Angels winning all three of his home starts versus Minnesota.
The Twins are on “under” runs of 10-4-1 in series openers, 4-0-1 on Monday and 11-4-2 as an underdog. Likewise, the Angels finished last year on “under” streaks of 33-16-2 overall, 20-8-2 as a favorites, 13-3 in series openers and 8-0 against A.L. Central squads. Also, with Weaver on the bump, the under is on streaks of 6-0-2 overall, 5-0-2 as a favorite and 20-8-1 against A.L. Central squads. However, the “over” is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings in this series and 6-0-1 in the last seven clashes at Angel Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA

Season
Straight Up: 3905-1286 (.752)
ATS: 1753-1730 (.503)
ATS Vary Units: 4706-4752 (.498)
Over/Under: 1561-1604 (.493)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2419-2419 (.500)

NCAA Tournament
National Championship at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Duke 63, Butler 60

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 399-270 (.596)

WASHINGTON 3, Boston 2
ST. LOUIS 3, Columbus 2
Minnesota vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ATSKINGS

SAL DEVITO - 5* EARLY WINNER plus Bonus

5*- Nationals +170 Listing Lannan

3*- Over Nationals 7.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamehunter

florida +110 (1.75 units)

pittsburgh +131 (1.25 units)

colorado +118 (1.75 units)

cubs +125 (1.25 units)

san diego +178 (1.25 units)

texas -135 (1.5 units)

seattle -121 (1.5 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KIKKI SPORTS

Monday April 5th

3 units Butler +7
1 unit Butler +280

1 unit Phillies -1.5 -1.09
2 units St Louis -1.50
1 unit LA Dodgers -1.50
1 unit Cubs +1.15
1 unit Arizona -1.5 +1.35
1 unit Seattle -1.5 +1.35

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jr. O'Donnell (RedZone Sports)

free internet play: Marlins (+100), listed pitchers.